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Red181
365430.6
23058.2
15533.3
Blue51
346414.8
314622.7
45725.1
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1083705015020025018151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#18
58.24.2
52.756.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 35.5
3146
#20
22.70.3
19.920.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
155
#14
33.34.2
17.621.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.5
3464
#26
14.80.3
16.717.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3654
#12
30.64.2
26.530.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 25.6
4572
#31
5.10.3
11.111.3
Auto
Teleop
End