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Red148
310430.5
283620.7
17836.9
Blue61
278512.8
169935.5
512920.0
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6467020408010012014014861

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
178
#7
36.94.2
33.337.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
1699
#22
35.50.3
37.837.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3104
#21
30.57.0
25.132.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.5
5129
#24
20.00.5
15.915.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2836
#19
20.74.2
5.910.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.0
2785
#32
12.80.5
12.712.3
Auto
Teleop
End