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Red130
176831.9
107119.9
17561.6
Blue21
45725.1
346626.4
278512.8
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1003405015020025013021

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
175
#2
61.62.0
52.054.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 35.2
26.41.2
20.519.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1768
#13
31.92.0
23.325.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.1
2785
#32
12.81.9
12.310.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
19.93.4
14.417.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.8
4572
#31
5.11.9
11.39.4
Auto
Teleop
End