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Red75
346414.8
17561.6
23058.2
Blue176
346120.8
109944.2
19587.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13211205015020025030035075176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
175
#2
61.62.7
54.151.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 25.8
195
#1
87.43.0
66.269.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
230
#18
58.22.7
56.553.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.9
44.23.0
33.736.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3464
#26
14.84.5
18.514.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.0
3461
#23
20.85.1
15.220.3
Auto
Teleop
End