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Red132
23058.2
206760.2
405540.8
Blue101
169935.5
15533.3
176831.9
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16678050100150200250300132101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.21.0
61.660.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 24.7
1699
#22
35.50.5
35.035.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
230
#18
58.21.0
55.954.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 24.9
155
#14
33.30.5
28.929.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
40.81.0
34.633.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.9
1768
#13
31.90.5
27.527.9
Auto
Teleop
End