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Red143
346626.4
365430.6
352541.3
Blue113
173544.7
55852.9
176831.9
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80127050100150200250143113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3525
#10
41.33.4
39.342.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.6
558
#11
52.90.3
46.346.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3654
#12
30.62.8
25.928.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.0
44.70.3
45.345.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
26.42.8
22.325.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.5
1768
#13
31.90.3
27.927.6
Auto
Teleop
End