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Red103
173544.7
283620.7
346626.4
Blue85
363418.1
109944.2
15119.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions83855060709010011012013010385

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.71.0
45.046.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
44.20.0
45.645.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
26.41.0
25.126.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.0
151
#28
19.40.0
19.419.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2836
#19
20.71.0
13.514.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.7
3634
#27
18.10.0
19.419.4
Auto
Teleop
End