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Red70
17561.6
206760.2
363418.1
Blue200
283620.7
405540.8
23058.2
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15110405020025030070200

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
175
#2
61.61.2
62.961.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.5
230
#18
58.21.5
55.456.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
60.21.2
61.460.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.4
40.81.5
38.039.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3634
#27
18.11.2
19.318.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.7
2836
#19
20.71.5
18.019.4
Auto
Teleop
End