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Red166
1686.6
392859.4
234630.4
Blue226
177576.2
110846.7
352854.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions178176100120140160200220240260166226

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16
Unranked
86.60.2
86.886.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.4
1775
Unranked
76.20.8
76.176.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3928
Unranked
59.40.2
59.659.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.6
3528
Unranked
54.80.8
54.755.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2346
Unranked
30.40.2
30.730.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.2
1108
Unranked
46.70.8
46.647.4
Auto
Teleop
End