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Red128
198689.6
52553.0
432929.1
Blue171
96761.3
198555.4
182553.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17817250100150200250300128171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1986
Unranked
89.60.8
91.490.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 28.2
967
Unranked
61.30.0
62.162.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
525
Unranked
53.00.8
54.954.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.4
1985
Unranked
55.40.0
56.256.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4329
Unranked
29.10.8
30.930.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 24.4
1825
Unranked
53.50.0
54.454.3
Auto
Teleop
End