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Red270
469101.2
284849.5
254119.9
Blue215
171897.3
245193.6
57359.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions275248100200300400500270215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#1
119.90.0
119.9119.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 22.6
97.30.6
97.997.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
469
#4
101.20.0
101.3101.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.7
2451
#11
93.60.6
94.293.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2848
#72
49.50.0
49.549.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.1
573
#15
59.60.6
60.259.6
Auto
Teleop
End