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Red190
57359.6
41842.9
381252.6
Blue117
517928.6
13564.3
493522.9
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15687050200250300350400190117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
573
#15
59.62.2
59.061.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.7
135
#8
64.31.0
60.261.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3812
#55
52.62.2
51.153.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 24.0
5179
#86
28.61.0
22.423.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
418
#61
42.92.2
35.537.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 20.0
4935
#47
22.91.0
14.615.6
Auto
Teleop
End