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Red125
84281.8
399063.4
338648.3
Blue140
29457.4
201652.2
50369.4
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions205107050150250300350400125140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
842
#20
81.83.3
84.581.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 24.4
294
#16
57.40.9
52.052.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3990
#18
63.43.3
64.661.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.2
2016
#41
52.20.9
57.658.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3386
#30
48.33.3
41.137.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 38.9
5036
#91
9.40.9
12.213.1
Auto
Teleop
End