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Red196
491561.2
384330.8
301548.7
Blue222
502429.2
162961.1
245193.6
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions119187050100150250300350196222

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4915
#39
61.23.3
57.861.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 32.4
2451
#11
93.62.3
81.383.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3015
#96
48.73.3
50.553.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.4
1629
#45
61.12.3
69.872.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3843
#74
30.83.3
21.224.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
5024
#88
29.22.3
25.227.5
Auto
Teleop
End