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Red122
507612.9
44762.1
393237.4
Blue120
519133.3
347679.8
356239.0
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions96167050150200250300350122120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
447
#81
62.10.7
64.965.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 17.7
3476
#25
79.81.8
87.685.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3932
#51
37.40.7
33.434.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.5
3562
#13
39.01.8
35.333.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5076
#37
12.90.7
8.89.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 20.3
5191
#66
33.31.8
33.431.6
Auto
Teleop
End