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Red145
50369.4
405552.4
469101.2
Blue144
201370.9
23060.5
316137.8
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1662050100300400145144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
469
#4
101.21.4
95.994.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 30.3
2013
#29
70.92.8
85.382.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4055
#21
52.41.4
61.460.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.1
230
#80
60.52.8
75.072.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5036
#91
9.41.7
15.213.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 28.4
3161
#83
37.82.8
39.036.3
Auto
Teleop
End