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Qual 1212014 Curie Division
Red123
436258.1
491561.2
254322.6
Blue176
448624.3
246865.7
171450.0
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions153125050100200250300350123176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4915
#39
61.21.3
61.2→59.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 4.5
2468
#19
65.72.3
59.3→61.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
4362
#95
58.11.3
60.8→59.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 8.0
1714
#42
50.02.3
45.4→47.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2543
#84
22.61.3
26.6→25.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 1.6
4486
#69
24.32.3
24.6→26.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—