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Red166
381252.6
193731.7
244353.7
Blue68
167644.6
529715.9
304232.2
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1488805020025030035016668

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2443
#73
53.71.4
55.857.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.2
1676
#35
44.61.5
47.546.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3812
#55
52.61.4
53.454.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 20.5
3042
#50
32.21.5
34.933.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1937
#23
31.71.4
29.831.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.8
5297
#87
15.91.5
14.913.4
Auto
Teleop
End