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Red113
208025.9
240323.5
393237.4
Blue143
384330.8
22276.3
366041.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8667050100150200250113143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3932
#51
37.41.5
34.135.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.7
3660
#90
41.13.6
37.441.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2080
#79
25.91.5
25.426.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.9
3843
#74
30.83.6
24.528.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2403
#85
23.51.5
24.025.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.2
2227
#98
6.33.6
8.512.1
Auto
Teleop
End