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Red168
1152.8
171450.0
7547.2
Blue108
433472.3
193731.7
190235.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14814680100120160180200220168108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
11
#32
52.81.1
53.054.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 19.5
4334
#44
72.32.0
83.481.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1714
#42
50.01.1
47.748.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.8
1902
#62
35.22.0
32.630.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
75
#28
47.21.1
46.147.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.5
1937
#23
31.72.0
31.129.2
Auto
Teleop
End