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Red163
366041.1
496927.9
379438.7
Blue109
415928.0
261942.0
519133.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10399050150200163109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3660
#90
41.13.0
41.044.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
2619
#71
42.00.5
41.041.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3794
#78
38.73.0
34.637.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.4
5191
#66
33.30.5
30.731.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4969
#82
27.93.0
26.729.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
4159
#93
28.00.5
27.528.0
Auto
Teleop
End