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Red144
173255.8
316137.8
412552.0
Blue161
519133.3
517928.6
399063.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions156112050200250300350400144161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1732
#59
55.80.3
56.155.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.6
3990
#18
63.42.1
61.363.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4125
#57
52.00.3
55.154.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.7
5191
#66
33.32.1
31.233.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3161
#83
37.80.3
38.037.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.1
5179
#86
28.62.1
26.528.6
Auto
Teleop
End