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Qual 162014 Curie Division
Red108
448624.3
41842.9
481947.5
Blue111
497723.7
261942.0
193731.7
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions123860200300400108111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4819
#22
47.50.5
47.5→47.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 5.5
2619
#71
42.01.0
51.8→52.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
418
#61
42.90.5
40.2→39.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 11.2
1937
#23
31.71.2
21.9→23.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
4486
#69
24.30.5
29.9→29.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.6
4977
#97
23.71.1
17.8→18.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—