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Red121
216917.7
245193.6
208025.9
Blue196
201370.9
338648.3
193731.7
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1391460100200300400500121196

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2451
#11
93.60.9
94.593.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 22.6
2013
#29
70.92.5
70.372.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2080
#79
25.90.9
26.925.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 22.4
3386
#30
48.32.5
45.848.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2169
#99
17.70.9
18.717.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.0
1937
#23
31.72.5
29.231.7
Auto
Teleop
End