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Red180
490120.4
323035.9
84281.8
Blue150
369230.7
384330.8
347679.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions131145050100200250300350180150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
842
#20
81.82.3
81.784.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.0
3476
#25
79.80.4
81.882.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3230
#54
35.92.3
33.635.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.2
3843
#74
30.80.4
30.430.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4901
#77
20.42.3
18.120.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.3
3692
#63
30.70.4
30.430.7
Auto
Teleop
End