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Qual 252014 Curie Division
Red126
304232.2
171897.3
519133.3
Blue100
502429.2
284849.5
201370.9
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16016850100200250300126100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1718
#2
97.31.8
89.2→87.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 26.4
2013
#29
70.93.3
82.6→79.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
5191
#66
33.31.8
35.2→33.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 16.2
2848
#72
49.53.3
55.0→51.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3042
#50
32.21.8
36.8→35.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 3.0
5024
#88
29.23.3
28.9→25.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—