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Qual 382014 Curie Division
Red170
84281.8
167644.6
261942.0
Blue117
240323.5
7456.8
98780.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1931640100300400500170117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
842
#20
81.80.9
90.5→89.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.1
987
#27
80.62.6
93.4→90.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1676
#35
44.60.9
46.0→45.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 12.3
74
#60
56.82.6
50.8→48.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2619
#71
42.00.9
52.2→51.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 18.5
2403
#85
23.52.6
24.1→21.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—