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Red102
201370.9
481947.5
500225.3
Blue95
19130.3
415928.0
132357.7
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions163116020030040010295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2013
#29
70.92.7
79.276.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.2
1323
#46
57.71.4
62.360.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4819
#22
47.52.7
47.444.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.3
191
#94
30.31.4
32.130.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5002
#76
25.32.7
29.326.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.7
4159
#93
28.01.4
29.327.8
Auto
Teleop
End