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Red215
509334.5
22257.1
338648.3
Blue128
247846.9
301548.7
316137.8
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12512850100150200250215128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
222
#33
57.14.5
59.063.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.4
3015
#96
48.70.0
56.556.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3386
#30
48.34.5
41.846.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
2478
#70
46.90.0
36.836.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5093
#40
34.54.5
24.228.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.2
3161
#83
37.80.0
33.833.8
Auto
Teleop
End