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Red142
1152.8
301548.7
84281.8
Blue176
6879.4
131141.7
517257.4
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions210152050100250300350400142176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
842
#20
81.82.9
89.686.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.4
68
#26
79.40.8
70.271.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
11
#32
52.82.9
54.751.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.6
5172
#14
57.40.8
48.849.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3015
#96
48.72.9
56.653.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.0
1311
#24
41.70.8
41.642.4
Auto
Teleop
End