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Red270
201370.9
347679.8
159560.7
Blue81
433472.3
493522.9
366041.1
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions223124010020030040027081

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3476
#25
79.83.1
84.587.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.5
4334
#44
72.32.9
83.480.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2013
#29
70.93.1
69.872.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 29.8
3660
#90
41.12.9
38.535.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1595
#58
60.73.1
53.556.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 37.9
4935
#47
22.92.9
17.514.6
Auto
Teleop
End