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Red216
13564.3
244353.7
417120.2
Blue112
323035.9
481947.5
393237.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions126122050100150200250300350400216112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
135
#8
64.34.5
55.760.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.7
4819
#22
47.50.5
49.949.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2443
#73
53.74.5
53.257.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.3
3932
#51
37.40.5
33.933.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4171
#34
20.24.5
16.521.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.7
3230
#54
35.90.5
38.638.1
Auto
Teleop
End