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Qual 942014 Curie Division
Red185
193731.7
517928.6
62487.2
Blue118
301548.7
254322.6
512532.3
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions146105050200250300185118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
#10
87.22.3
91.9→94.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 38.5
3015
#96
48.70.3
50.1→50.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1937
#23
31.72.3
27.5→29.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 0.6
5125
#89
32.30.3
35.0→35.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
5179
#86
28.62.3
20.2→22.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 6.0
2543
#84
22.60.3
26.3→26.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—