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Red128
22582.0
173170.3
446430.4
Blue107
188542.3
141867.0
253724.2
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1971240100300400128107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
225
#1
82.01.0
82.982.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.9
67.00.5
67.567.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
70.31.0
71.370.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 28.0
1885
#22
42.30.6
42.942.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4464
#12
30.41.2
31.630.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.3
2537
#25
24.20.6
24.724.2
Auto
Teleop
End