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Quarterfinal 1-12014 Greater DC Regional
Red146
173170.3
446430.4
22582.0
Blue97
264034.4
264249.4
237744.7
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions211116030040014697

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
225
#1
82.00.8
86.0→85.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 32.6
2642
#33
49.40.6
50.0→49.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1731
#2
70.30.8
74.4→73.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 25.6
2377
#9
44.70.7
45.4→44.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
4464
#12
30.41.0
35.4→34.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 4.0
2640
#34
34.40.6
35.1→34.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—