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Red8
68617.5
62349.1
345526.1
Blue89
61241.7
446430.4
445622.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6274050100150200250889

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
623
#24
49.14.7
21.717.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.4
612
#19
41.70.9
34.335.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3455
#31
26.14.7
21.616.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.4
4464
#12
30.41.4
20.221.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
686
#38
17.54.7
21.016.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.2
4456
#13
22.71.4
17.819.2
Auto
Teleop
End