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Qual 302014 Greater DC Regional
Red141
291110.2
454132.8
341934.4
Blue137
284929.7
533819.7
62349.1
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59540100200300400500600700800141137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3419
#23
34.46.9
29.7→36.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 14.7
623
#24
49.16.9
18.8→25.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
4541
#14
32.86.9
21.9→28.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 3.0
2849
#29
29.76.9
19.5→26.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2911
#41
10.24.1
6.7→10.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 9.6
5338
#40
19.76.9
16.1→23.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—