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Qual 342014 Greater DC Regional
Red141
61241.7
11633.5
365027.5
Blue112
24214.6
341934.4
482129.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7963050100150200250141112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
612
#19
41.73.2
36.9→40.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 7.3
3419
#23
34.43.9
36.6→40.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
116
#15
33.53.2
24.7→28.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 4.3
4821
#21
29.23.9
21.5→25.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3650
#18
27.55.4
14.8→20.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 22.9
2421
#49
4.63.9
7.2→11.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—