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Red110
341934.4
33944.8
296111.5
Blue117
44943.7
206838.1
446613.2
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59790100150200250110117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
339
#5
44.82.7
24.026.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
449
#10
43.72.3
29.331.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3419
#23
34.44.0
23.427.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.8
38.12.7
27.129.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2961
#37
11.54.0
14.918.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.7
4466
#42
13.23.4
19.723.1
Auto
Teleop
End