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Qual 402014 Greater DC Regional
Red40
454132.8
291225.7
291412.6
Blue21
409921.6
88812.2
191518.1
55%Model gave it45%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions705401001502002503003504021

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4541
#14
32.82.3
28.8→26.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 11.2
4099
#26
21.63.0
23.7→20.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2912
#4
25.72.3
22.5→20.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 7.7
1915
#35
18.13.0
12.2→9.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2914
#45
12.61.4
16.0→14.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.4
888
#27
12.23.0
20.6→17.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—