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Qual 592014 Greater DC Regional
Red152
62349.1
141867.0
188542.3
Blue53
446613.2
291225.7
365027.5
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16262010020030040015253

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1418
#7
67.00.3
59.9→60.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 39.6
3650
#18
27.51.9
39.1→37.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
623
#24
49.10.5
45.2→45.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 23.3
2912
#4
25.71.9
20.7→18.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1885
#22
42.30.4
41.2→41.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 29.1
4466
#42
13.22.1
18.1→16.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—