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Qual 782014 Greater DC Regional
Red51
11633.5
62349.1
409921.6
Blue100
524315.2
424232.9
44943.7
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1218405010015020025030035051100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
623
#24
49.14.3
53.4→49.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 5.4
449
#10
43.70.5
44.1→44.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
116
#15
33.53.2
36.1→32.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.6
4242
#8
32.90.7
30.8→31.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
4099
#26
21.64.3
25.8→21.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 6.3
5243
#16
15.20.7
14.5→15.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—