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Qual 82014 Greater DC Regional
Red57
296412.2
53825.3
290018.5
Blue113
365027.5
409921.6
264034.4
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4875010015020025057113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
538
#20
25.30.4
21.0→21.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 9.2
2640
#34
34.42.6
37.2→39.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2900
#36
18.50.4
13.7→14.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 9.0
3650
#18
27.53.5
18.0→21.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2964
#44
12.20.4
17.8→18.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 9.3
4099
#26
21.63.5
15.3→18.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—