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Qual 802014 Greater DC Regional
Red80
446613.2
284929.7
345526.1
Blue141
53825.3
296317.9
264249.4
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions638705010015020080141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2849
#29
29.70.9
29.0→29.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 19.6
2642
#33
49.42.9
47.1→50.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
3455
#31
26.10.9
25.2→26.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.8
538
#20
25.33.8
22.2→26.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
4466
#42
13.20.9
12.3→13.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 4.7
2963
#32
17.93.8
14.0→17.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—