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Red221
446430.4
494517.7
22582.0
Blue47
11236.9
188542.3
454132.8
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1288405010015020025022147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
225
#1
82.05.0
81.086.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 39.7
1885
#22
42.32.9
45.342.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4464
#12
30.46.7
28.735.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.4
4541
#14
32.82.9
35.432.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4945
#30
17.76.7
11.017.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.9
1123
#50
6.92.9
9.76.9
Auto
Teleop
End