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Red187
80163.8
215236.6
2138.5
Blue182
34851.9
402644.4
74459.8
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions135154050100200250300187182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
801
#4
63.80.8
63.464.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.0
744
#21
59.80.5
58.058.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
21
#15
38.50.8
38.138.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.5
348
#9
51.90.5
50.250.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
36.60.8
36.237.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.8
4026
#19
44.40.5
42.643.1
Auto
Teleop
End