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Red110
190235.3
341051.6
337616.3
Blue156
10864.4
215236.6
2138.5
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72128050100150200250110156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3410
#11
51.61.5
43.544.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.9
108
#12
64.42.3
53.655.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1902
#16
35.31.6
23.425.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.2
21
#15
38.52.1
35.938.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3376
#43
16.32.5
13.716.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 20.3
36.62.1
29.431.4
Auto
Teleop
End