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Red125
393323.5
453324.9
106568.7
Blue101
53294.1
402644.4
152350.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9890050150200125101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1065
#13
68.71.6
62.564.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.5
1523
#32
50.20.5
47.648.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4533
#29
24.91.9
16.318.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 19.5
4026
#19
44.40.6
34.334.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3933
#33
23.51.4
17.919.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.4
5329
#46
4.10.8
9.210.0
Auto
Teleop
End