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Red152
215236.6
399227.8
411854.3
Blue137
393323.5
519624.8
74459.8
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10579050150200250152137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4118
#17
54.32.5
41.444.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.5
744
#21
59.82.7
47.450.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
36.62.5
31.434.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.8
5196
#26
24.84.5
16.821.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3992
#10
27.84.2
28.132.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.2
3933
#33
23.52.7
19.322.0
Auto
Teleop
End