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Red116
53294.1
190235.3
17972.8
Blue82
500726.9
74459.8
5919.5
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions728905010015020011682

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
179
#7
72.82.1
46.648.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.0
744
#21
59.80.2
48.948.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1902
#16
35.32.1
22.424.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.4
5007
#41
26.90.4
20.920.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5329
#46
4.13.5
5.48.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.4
59
#20
19.50.4
16.616.2
Auto
Teleop
End